Don't look at a poll for four weeks.
Buy a copy of Michael Barone's Almanac of American Politics. Read it cover to cover.
Polls are like a snapshot of the surf near a beach. They tell you nothing about what will happen next week or what is happening 200 miles away. Barone understands the deeper historical currents that matter.
(This advice also applies to the metrocons at NRO who acted like hysterical chickens on Election Day.
Almanac of American Politics, 2004
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